Event, Berlin: Shielding European Democracy: Scenarios from Central Europe
STRATEGIC FORESIGHT
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Central Europe Cannot Ignore Indo-Pacific Tensions
As Asia’s influence grows, Central Europe must ace the global ripple effect
As Asia’s geopolitical and economic influence continues to grow, Central Europe must face the reality that distant conflicts in the Indo-Pacific could have direct consequences on its security and prosperity. From Russia’s partnerships with China and North Korea to growing tensions in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, the...
Read moreCan Aid Fix Ukraine’s Infrastructure Before Winter Exodus?
Energy shortages and humanitarian aid are key, but not sole, factors as Ukrainians brace for winter
As Ukraine braces for winter amidst escalating Russian offensives targeting power infrastructure, the country faces the real possibility of another wave of refugees. With rolling blackouts expected to last hours each day and millions already displaced, the looming cold season places further strain on Ukraine’s crisis response.
Read more1K Days of War: Poland Rallies Leaders to Revamp European Security
Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 18-24 November
Poland has summoned European leaders to Warsaw on 19 November, for the 1000th day of Russia’s War on Ukraine. This will provide the context for what Warsaw hopes will be a reset in European decision-making – elevating Poland’s place at the table ahead of its European Council Presidency and the...
Read morePeace or Appeasement? Trump’s Unpredictable Diplomacy in Ukraine – INTERVIEW
Any solution that fails to deliver just and lasting peace is no solution at all
President-elect Donald Trump repeated throughout the US election that he could end Russia’s war on Ukraine in a day if re-elected. Now, fears abound that he could soon forge a deal with Vladimir Putin that sells out Kyiv. But what does the return of Trump really mean for Ukraine and...
Read moreTrump is Back. What Does It Mean for the Western Balkans?
Indirect consequences of decisions taken elsewhere may impact the Western Balkans more than any direct engagement
The Western Balkans stand on the periphery of Trump’s priorities. Overshadowed by China, Ukraine and the Middle East, it is difficult to envision any tectonic changes in the region. Yet, it might be precisely Trump’s decisions taken elsewhere that stand to challenge the status quo.
Read moreWill the Rule of Law Reforms Fast-Track or Delay Ukraine’s EU Membership?
Rule of Law demands should be strict – but not a delay tactic
EU accession requires Ukraine to solidify the rule of law and establish robust democratic institutions. It is crucial not to overlook this requirement – nor to use it as a pretext for a subtle rejection of Ukraine’s membership bid.
Read moreOrbán’s Ambitions vs. Tusk’s Diplomacy. EU’s Path Forward with Trump
Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 11-17 November
Viktor Orbán was quick to celebrate President-elect Donald Trump’s victory last week – declaring that the duo have big plans for the future. But despite the Hungarian PM’s positioning, is Donald Tusk set to become the actual leader on EU-US relations?
Read moreEuropean Commission Report Highlights Ukraine’s Gains in Governance, Reform and Resilience
Negotiation clusters to open by 2025: What are the next steps?
The EU’s latest enlargement report marks a critical milestone for Ukraine, validating its progress in governance, judicial reform and anti-corruption. With plans to open negotiation clusters by 2025, the report provides a clear path forward while underscoring the demanding work ahead in Ukraine’s EU membership journey.
Read moreTrump’s Second Term a Crossroads for Central Europe – COMMENTARY
Central Europe braces for impact across security, trade and democratic resilience
Trump’s return to the White House signals a major shift for Central and Eastern Europe. His policies could upend alliances or serve as a chance for deepened regional cooperation and economic independence.
Read moreUkraine’s Reconstruction: A Second ‘Big Bang’ for European Business?
How CEE business investment could transform Ukraine and bolster Europe's economic and political future
The fight for Ukraine’s future extends beyond the battlefield to its recovery and integration into the European Union. While security challenges remain, Ukraine’s reconstruction offers unprecedented growth opportunities for European businesses and a pathway to a stronger, more resilient Europe.
Read moreSandu Defies Russia: Moldova Sets the Tone for Election Week
Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 4-10 November
With 99% of votes counted, Maia Sandu has defied expectations and won the Moldovan presidential run-off with 55% of votes – to Aleksandr Stoianoglo’s 45%. This is despite ‘massive interference’ from Russia, both at home and abroad. It is a huge win for Moldova and the EU’s democratic outlook –...
Read moreCzech Gaming Tycoons Expand Kremlin-Linked Media into Poland
Controversial Czech outlet Parlamentní Listy crosses borders, fuelling concerns about disinformation
A controversial Czech media outlet, notorious for promoting Kremlin-backed narratives, has crossed into Poland, raising alarms in an already fragile Polish media landscape.
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We map out scenarios for Europe’s future
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EU Values Foresight from the Visegrad Four Civil Society Leaders
This report analyses the various outcomes of the upcoming EP elections as well as the formation of the new commission on democracy and the global position of the European Union. It systematically examines internal and external challenges, mapping EU responses to safeguard democratic resilience and electoral processes.
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