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Fico Shooting: An Opportunity For Regional Autocrats To Weaponise “Polarisation” – QUICK TAKE

The fallout will likely have long-term impacts on Slovakia’s social cohesion

The shooting of Robert Fico was a tragic event, but it has also given the Smer government an opportunity to further its illiberal agenda. Representatives of the governing coalition were quick to blame the shooting on the opposition, media and civil society, when what they call “polarisation” is largely a...

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Judge, Hater, Penitent, Spy – The Story of Judge Tomasz Szmydt

How to safeguard EU judiciaries and ensure resilience from foreign interference

The tale of Judge Tomasz Szmydt’s unexpected resignation in Belarus exposes the intricate web of political intrigue, judicial ethics and foreign influence shaping Poland’s judiciary, as well as the challenges the European Union faces to uphold the rule of law.

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Elections in Lithuania: President and PM to Face Off in Second Round

Anti-establishment waves and a failed referendum hint at a political shift

After securing 44% of the vote in Sunday’s elections in Lithuania, forecasted favourite President Gitanas Nausėda will now face Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė in an upcoming run-off. More telling, however, were the vote’s anti-establishment undercurrents, suggesting a change in public mood that could pave the way for fringe and Russia-friendly...

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War Economy Reshuffles in Russia and Europe

Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 13 - 19 May

Russian defence sector leaders reshuffled as NATO meets to discuss new strategy and financial arrangements to fund the war effort take place in the background.

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Ukraine Should Be the Centre of the European Fight Against Russian Disinfo

The EU and Ukraine must integrate closely to thwart Kremlin-allied attempts to tear Europe apart

The case of Ukrainian Artyom Marchevskiy – infamous pro-Kremlin Voice of Europe propagandist – travelling to Slovakia to escape Czech sanctions illustrates once again the subversive operations targeting EU public discourse. To tackle such operations, the EU, Central Europe and Ukraine have no option but to integrate their strategic communication.

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Ursula Mobilised Europe Against The Virus – Now Tasked Against The Evil – QUICK TAKE

Arresting electoral pitches in Katowice by Donald Tusk and Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen and Donald Tusk lock targets at the Russian threat, but are they using all the weapons in their arsenal?

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Xi Jinping in Europe. What Makes His Trip So Special?

Chinese leader's feel-good trips in Belgrade and Budapest against a backlash from the EU

Xi Jinping faces two very different versions of Europe. France’s President and the EU Commission President pressed Xi on complex subjects, but visits to Belgrade and Budapest will allow Xi Jinping to leave Europe on a high note, mitigating some of the damage caused to China’s image by deteriorating relations...

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Tusk and von der Leyen: Plan for Europe Against Russian Subversion

Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 6 - 12 May

On 7 May, Donald Tusk and Ursula von der Leyen will jointly present their Plan for Europe – expectedly, their take on the upcoming EU Strategic Agenda. Read more about our EU values, foresight and advocacy related to the new agenda plans. This discourse on Europe will take place in...

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What Europeans – And Their Politicians – Misunderstand About Enlargement

Five enlargement prejudices that are simply not true

Despite much discussion on the topic, there has been little actual preparation for EU enlargement. But this is not because of oft-quoted prejudices against the accession process, few of which actually hold water. Rather, much of the talk in EU capitals seems to be about inventing reasons not to enlarge.

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Defending EU Values: Central Europe’s Struggle Against Malign Narratives

In 2024, the EU still wields the most emancipatory story Central Europe has experienced

From economic transformations to the resurgence of nationalism, Central Europe’s two-decade journey within the European Union showcases how populist, often malign, voices constantly challenge the perception of membership benefits.

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Suski Affair Puts a Lid on Law and Justice Election Campaign – QUICK TAKE

It shows there is a brutal struggle for influence taking place within the PiS party

In the latest turn of the Pegasus scandal investigations, it was sensationally revealed that Marek Suski was under surveillance by his own party colleagues. This is especially poor timing for Jarosław Kaczyński, who is desperately trying to maintain the narrative that PiS is a unified front and a leading political...

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Only Enlarged EU Would Thwart Some of Xi Jinping’s Ambitions

Democratic Security Outlook 2024: 29 April - 05 May

Brussels will host a CEE-focused celebration of the 2004 big-bang enlargement on 29 April, after which ministers will convene to discuss the next enlargement and the importance of upholding the rule of law in the process. Last week, CEE geared up for Xi Jinping’s upcoming European tour, Robert Fico’s takeover...

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How Democracy Can Win and Europe Lose

This report analyses the various outcomes of the upcoming EP elections as well as the formation of the new commission on democracy and the global position of the European Union. It systematically examines internal and external challenges, mapping EU responses to safeguard democratic resilience and electoral processes.

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