Nawrocki Is Crouching for the 2027 Interregnum

The Polish president spent his first year collecting vetoes, but his peak power will be tested after the 2027 election

10 August 2026

Karol Nawrocki completed 12 months in office on 6 August 2026 with 41 vetoes – the highest count of any Polish president – and approval ratings his opponents cannot match. But numbers are less important than they look.

The constitutional instrument that will decide Poland’s next year is Article 154, which governs how the president and the Sejm (Poland’s parliament) form the Council of Ministers. The fragmentation of the Polish right has just turned this largely ceremonial presidential prerogative into an actual discretionary power.

A year ago we put a scenario on the table. A president with symbolic authority and a natural rapport with Donald Trump might raise Warsaw’s game, speaking credibly to Washington without forfeiting standing in Brussels. Andrzej Duda had laid some of that groundwork. Nawrocki, we suggested, could build on it.

That did not happen. Twelve months on, the presidency has produced no foreign or security policy direction of consequence, with one exception – and that exception was destructive.

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