Hungary Digs In Over Ukraine, EU Rules Ahead Of a Key Summit 

Democratic Security Outlook 2023: 20 November - 26 November 

20 November 2023

Ukraine is struggling to maintain momentum in its war with Russia and drive to begin EU membership talks as the US remains deadlocked on further aid for Kyiv. At the same time, the EU is grappling with Hungary’s intransigence and Germany’s budget crisis ahead of the crucial December summit.

Upcoming on Visegrad Insight:

  • Ricardo Silvestre outlines the direct and ideological ties between European Illiberalism and the US Republican Party’s embrace of the far-right.  
  • Maria Simeonova explains how Bulgaria’s odd coalition continues to defy Russian influence.
  • EVENT Budapest: What are Hungary’s priorities in the next EU Agenda? 20 November 2023 at 4 PM. Click here to register and for more information
  • EVENT Bratislava: Roundtable discussion on 21 November 9 -10:30 AM – please contact us if you would like to join.

EU/REGIONAL

  • Finland accused Russia of shuttling irregular migrants towards its border, in a repeat of hybrid activities Moscow and its ally in Minsk have tried earlier on other NATO members Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia.
  • A constitutional court ruling in Germany threw the country’s finances into disarray, threatening aid to Ukraine and EU plans to increase the common budget at the December summit.
  • Berlin may have to revise its budget for 2024 and restructure green infrastructure spending plans worth over 770 billion euros after the constitutional court ruled that moving some Covid spending to an off-budget fund was illegal. The ruling exposed the absurdity of Germany’s inflexible “spending brake” and compromised Berlin’s attempts to streamline EU fiscal rules.
  • The blocked fund was supposed to subsidise the new Intel factory in East Germany. A sister plant was planned across the border in Poland.
  • Talks between Ukraine, Poland and the EU failed to resolve an escalating row over Ukrainian hauliers’ access to the common market. A blockade by Polish truckers caused week-long delays and a queue of lorries on both sides of the Polish-Ukrainian border. Truckers from Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic also support the protest.
  • CEE economies are set to see inflation continuing to moderate, while growth is expected to pick up pace, according to the latest European Commission forecasts.

Ukraine faces military and diplomatic headwinds

UKRAINE

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