Foresight
Politics
Poland’s 2025 Presidential Race: Tusk’s Patriotic Gamble
21 April 2025
The invasion of Ukraine could still end in any number of ways but a defeat for the Ukrainians would be a defeat for the whole of democratic Europe.
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine is far from over. We do not know what is going on in the mind of the man who controls the second largest nuclear arsenal in the world. But much has changed in the last four days in European politics — more than at any other time in a decade. It was caused by the first three days of the brave and heroic struggle of the Ukrainians, led by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The impact of these changes can so far only be described in a rough outline. But they will have a profound effect on our future.
Germany Has Decided to Become a Great Power Again
As recently as Friday morning, I spoke to German experts about how impossibly pacifist and naive German society and politics are, especially in the face of Russian aggression. It has managed to mature very quickly. At the first-ever Bundestag meeting on Sunday, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, backed by his colourful coalition, announced an immediate increase in the defence budget to more than two per cent of GDP. He also announced that Germany would start building two liquefied gas terminals and gas storage facilities. And a third, somewhat neglected point: Germany will buy modern US aircraft to continue NATO’s programme to maintain nuclear deterrence.
Editor’s Pick: The Biggest Russian Weapon Against the West Is Corruption
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