Trump’s Diesel Concessions Are a Bone Thrown to Russia and Ukraine

Why Washington's art of the deal failed to change calculations from both sides

28 October 2026

Viktoryia Kolchyna

Marcin Król Fellow

America’s diesel deal offers the Kremlin too little to change its strategy and too much to lose for Kyiv. What are the alternatives for Trump before the mid-terms?

Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump allowed Russia to sell diesel on the global market for six months. A week later, he suspended new American sanctions against the Kremlin. The White House hoped to bring down fuel prices and persuade President Vladimir Putin to return to negotiations. But the ‘energy ceasefire‘ announced by the Trump Administration never materialised, and Russia continued to strike Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Moscow secured sanctions relief without making any commitments in return.

The economics of October’s concessions

In September, Trump signed into law the Graham Act, which provided for new sanctions against Russia and Iran. The law stipulated tariffs of 500 per cent on Russian goods and 100 per cent on goods from the five countries buying the most Russian oil and gas, as well as the five countries most actively helping Russia circumvent sanctions.

Subscription Required

Subscribe

Democratic security comes at a price. What is yours? By subscribing or donating now gain access to analysis, forecasts and scenarios by leading analysts and reporters who monitor democratic risks and develop policy debate from Central Europe on Central Europe.

MonthlyVAT included

€6/month

See all details

  • Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
  • Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
  • Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
  • Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline

AnnualVAT included

€60/year

See all details

  • Individual subscribers only. Check our CORPORATE OFFER below
  • Almost 17% discount (12 EUR off monthly cost if paid annually)
  • Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
  • Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
  • Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
  • Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline

Institutional

GO TO CHECKOUT

See all details

  • Access to all articles for your team
  • Access to all Reports for your team
  • Every Monday a Weekly Outlook with an update on key developments in Central Europe delivered by e-mail
  • Every Thursday a newsletter with the most important highlights and invitations
  • Personal invitations to Visegrad Insight Events
  • Foresight, policy, and risk analysis reports (on-demand)

I am a representative of an institution/business. Is there a corporate offer?

The annual subscription for up to ten institutional users: EUR 999
GO TO CHECKOUT

For a tailor-made offer email us: contact@visegradinsight.eu 

  • Access to all articles for your team
  • Access to all Reports for your team
  • Every Monday a Weekly Outlook with an update on key developments in Central Europe delivered by e-mail
  • Every Thursday a newsletter with the most important highlights and invitations
  • Personal invitations to Visegrad Insight Events
  • Foresight, policy, and risk analysis reports (on-demand)

Intelligence prepared by a group of Visegrad Insight Fellows from all across

Can I receive an invoice?

Yes. You will receive a receipt immediately after purchase and a VAT invoice upon request. The subscription amount includes tax. In case of a donation, there is no tax.

Are my credit card details safe?

Yes. The payment is processed by STRIPE www.stripe.com entrusted also by Amazon, Zoom, Booking.com and used by other global NGOs and businesses in the world. We do not store your credit card details.

How modify or cancel my subscription?

At any moment you can manage your subscription and account details. Sign in to modify or cancel.

Already a member? Log in here
Viktoryia Kolchyna

Marcin Król Fellow

Viktoryia Kolchyna is a journalist and contributing author that has covered Human Rights topics for multiple networks including Belsat TV and Al Jazeera English. She worked on documentaries that won several awards, including NYF TV & Film Awards, Silver World Medal Film People & Power- Russia: The Orthodox Connection( 2019) and Nomination for Rory Peck Award from Al Jazeera People & Power- Armenia: Mining out the leopard (2019).

Newsletter

Weekly updates with our latest articles and the editorial commentary.