Slovaks to Elect Parliament in Test For EU Unity On Ukraine

Democratic Security Outlook 2023: 25 September- 1 October

25 September 2023

Slovakia holds a cliffhanger election on Saturday that may reverse its support for Ukraine, just as Poland’s ruling Law and Justice abandons stalwart backing for Kyiv to rally nationalist voters ahead of its own electoral race on 15 October. Both elections will test EU unity on Ukraine, including arms deliveries and EU membership prospects

Upcoming on Visegrad Insight:

  • Albin Sybera analyses how Slovak politics is being hijacked by second-tier themes in the run-up to election by populist forces
  • Tetyana Oleksiyuk questions whether high salaries in government can help the fight against corruption.


  • The European Commission will host talks between Ukraine and its CEE neighbours led by Poland in a dispute over grain. Poland, Hungary and Slovakia defied the Commission and slapped their own restrictions on exports of agricultural produce from Ukraine when the Commission lifted a temporary ban on 15 September, saying the problem with oversupply had largely been resolved.
  • In the run-up to the talks, Ukraine dropped the threat to take the three to the World Trade Organisation, which would create an embarrassment for the EU. It would be obliged to defend its members in the trade body even if it had to simultaneously rap them for taking unilateral action in defiance of EU treaties.
  • Azerbaijan forces attacked and took control of the remaining pocket of Armenian self-rule in Nagorno Karabakh, a province that according to international law is part of Azerbaijan but has broken away under Armenia’s and Russia’s protection in the 1990s.
  • The action follows the 2020 defeat of Armenia and the re-annexation of most of the province by the gas-rich Azerbaijan during a short war. The conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh and fears of Azeri clampdown on the ethnic Armenian majority in the province pose a challenge to the EU which must juggle its commitment to human rights and efforts to partly replace Russian gas with Azeri deliveries.
  • The German government may finally bow to pressure from its eastern states to impose temporary border controls on frontiers with Poland and Czechia after a surge of irregular migrant crossings. Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said the In Welt am Sontag newspaper the controls would prevent people smuggling through the porous border.
  • The surge in illegal crossing coincided with reports that Poland and also Hungary might have run fraudulent visa-granting schemes for non-EU citizens, allowing hundreds of thousands of work migrants into the EU. Germany and the European Commission have demanded explanations from Warsaw.

US to send missiles to Ukraine, while Poland wavers



Democratic security comes at a price. What is yours? By subscribing or donating now gain access to analysis, forecasts and scenarios by leading analysts and reporters who monitor democratic risks and develop policy debate from Central Europe on Central Europe.

MonthlyVAT included


See all details

  • Full access to articles and reports
  • Monthly foresights and risk analysis delivered by e-mail
  • Weekly newsletter with most important highlights
  • Visegrad Insight social media community groups invitation

AnnualVAT included


See all details

  • All monthly features PLUS…
  • Free invitation to one editorial board discussion to participate in deciding on the future direction of the Visegrad Insight
  • Free delivery of two select hardcopies of Visegrad Insight reports

Student OR Donation

Choose your contribution

See all details

  • Full access to articles and reports
  • Monthly foresights, weekly newsletters, and risk analysis delivered by e-mail
  • Free invitation to one editorial board discussion to participate in deciding on the future direction of the Visegrad Insight (annual subscription only)

Can I receive an invoice?

Yes. You will receive a receipt immediately after purchase and a VAT invoice upon request. The subscription amount includes tax. In case of a donation, there is no tax.

Are my credit card details safe?

Yes. The payment is processed by STRIPE entrusted also by Amazon, Zoom, and used by other global NGOs and businesses in the world. We do not store your credit card details.

How modify or cancel my subscription?

At any moment you can manage your subscription and account details. Sign in to modify or cancel.

Strategic Foresight by Visegrad Insight

In-house programme dedicated to analysing impactful trends, mapping out potential scenarios and generating weekly and monthly foresights.


Weekly updates with our latest articles and the editorial commentary.