Central Asia’s Reliance on Russia Has Made It Vulnerable to Conflict

Central Asia’s traditional reliance on Russian security is waning

27 September 2022

Vitaly Portnikov

Future of Ukraine Fellow

With conflicts breaking out in the region of Central Asia, one unintended consequence of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the destabilisation of post-Soviet space.

At the end of September, the Secretary of the Security Council of the Republic of Kyrgyzstan, Marat Imankulov, announced that the country’s leadership had initiated the exclusion of neighbouring Tajikistan from the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), a military alliance that includes Russia, Armenia, Belarus and Kazakhstan in addition to the two countries. 

The move comes after several weeks of bloody border conflicts between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. Of course, for Europeans, these hostilities are overshadowed by the war in Ukraine; however, when I saw a video showing the aftermath of the shelling of the regional centre of Batkent in Kyrgyzstan — a cloud of smoke over residential areas — I was immediately reminded of how the same cloud rose over homes after the rocket attack on Lviv.

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Vitaly Portnikov

Future of Ukraine Fellow

Vitaly is a Visegrad Insight Fellow as of 2022. He is also an author and renowned journalist working in democratic media in Central and Eastern Europe for more than three decades. He is the author of hundreds of analytical articles in Ukrainian, Belarusian, Polish, Russian, Israeli, Baltic media. He hosts television programs and his own analytical channels on YouTube. He is currently broadcasting at the office of the Espreso TV channel in Lviv and continues to cooperate with the Ukrainian and Russian services of Radio Liberty. On the Russian service of Radio Liberty, he continues the project about the post-Soviet space “Roads to Freedom”, which was aired first from Moscow, then from Kyiv, and is now being produced in Lviv as a joint project of Radio Liberty, the Current Time TV channel and the Espreso TV channel.

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