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Bulgaria’s Radev Will Test Europe’s Resolve on Russia
20 April 2026
For years Moscow has been building up an advantage over Ukraine and Europe due to a ‘peace dividend’, which opened a window of weakness, inviting Russian aggression. But last week the tables turned. As Orbán announced his resignation from the parliamentary seat after his party’s landslide defeat, Ukraine is gaining a material advantage in the confrontation with Moscow.
Technologically, the Ukrainian army is starting to take advantage of its drone warfare and fresh reports bring news about record numbers of Russian casualties – among soldiers on the frontlines and against its economic base in ports and refineries.
Even before Orbán formally departs, the EU boosts Ukraine’s momentum by unlocking the 90-billion-euro support loan and enacting new types of sanctions that prohibit the Russian shadow fleet from delivering Putin economic benefits from oil exports. So while Russian oil for Hungary and Slovakia resumed through the Druzhba pipeline and Péter Magyar is meeting with Ursula von der Leyen on Wednesday to discuss the frozen EU funds, take a look at the bigger picture – Ukraine is seizing the post-Orban dividend.
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