How CEE MEPs Voted On Ursula No-Confidence

Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2025: 13-19 October

13 October 2025

Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) showed a stark split in support for Ursula von der Leyen, with 103 MEPs from the region backing her in a no-confidence vote, while 61 voted for her removal and many remained undecided, exemplifying a deep political divide within the EU also in the region.

As Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán attends a Gaza peace summit and Czechia’s Andrej Babiš forms a fragile coalition, the EU contends with democratic backsliding. Meanwhile, Ukraine pushes for Tomahawk missiles and a new EU trade deal, while Poland’s judicial reforms fuel coalition tensions.

GLOBAL/REGIONAL

  • Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán is the only leader from CEE invited to the Gaza ‘peace summit’ organised today jointly by the US and Egyptian presidents.
  • UvdL confidence vote regional math. CEE countries saw 69 votes in favour and 103 votes against in the no-confidence vote against Ursula von der Leyen. Notably, 61 EPP MEPs from CEE opposed the motion, while 32 MEPs – many from the S&D group – did not vote.
  • The EPP had no defections or abstentions; however, 9 EPP MEPs, including all Hungarian representatives from Peter Magyar’s Tisza party, did not show up for the vote.
  • Democracy shield agenda in the Council of Europe spotlight. We agree, rearming must be paired with strengthening democracy – check our ongoing foresight on this topic: https://visegradinsight.eu/eu-values-foresight/
  • Alain Berset, Secretary-General of the Council of Europe, cautioned that Europe’s rapid rearmament, unprecedented since World War II, risks failure if hostile foreign powers manipulate elections to hijack governments.
  • He highlighted widespread democratic backsliding across the continent, including in strong democracies, and stressing the need to protect democratic institutions to ensure security.
  • Following discussions with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte at the European Political Community summit in Copenhagen, Berset advocated for a ‘democracy shield’ to counter election interference, suggesting measures like expanding polling bans before elections, while acknowledging the challenge of balancing such restrictions with democratic legitimacy.
  • On 14 October the EU interior ministers will debate a draft regulation establishing a common system for the return to the third country. The Justice and Home Affairs Council will focus on regulations about common procedures for issuing return decisions, rules on forced returns, and more requirements for returnees.
  • These policies are a typical right-wing communication launchpad, with Polish President Karol Nawrocki preemptively opposing the pact, including migrant relocations, as he wrote in a letter sent to EC President Ursula von der Leyen.
  • On 15 October the EU Foreign Affairs Council with focus on defence will be chaired by Kaja Kallas. EU foreign and defence ministers will talk about the bloc’s military preparedness amid ongoing threats from Russia’s war in Ukraine and broader geopolitical tensions.
  • EU military industry plans hurt by Chinese ban. The PRC Politburo announced a decision to tighten export restrictions on rare earths.
  • In response, US President Donald Trump announced an additional 100% tariff on imports from China from November 2025.
  • Gracelin Baskaran, director of the critical minerals security programme at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, warned that overseas defence manufacturers would be affected the most.

UKRAINE

Subscribe

Democratic security comes at a price. What is yours? By subscribing or donating now gain access to analysis, forecasts and scenarios by leading analysts and reporters who monitor democratic risks and develop policy debate from Central Europe on Central Europe.

MonthlyVAT included

€4/month

See all details

  • Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
  • Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
  • Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
  • Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline

AnnualVAT included

€40/year

See all details

  • Individual subscribers only. Check our CORPORATE OFFER below
  • 15% Discount (8 EUR off monthly cost if paid annually)
  • Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
  • Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
  • Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
  • Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline

Student OR Donation

Choose your contribution

See all details

  • Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
  • Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
  • Some Visegrad Insight events invitations

I am a representative of an institution/business. Is there a corporate offer?

The annual subscription for up to ten institutional users: EUR 999
GO TO CHECKOUT

For a tailor-made offer email us: contact@visegradinsight.eu 

  • Access to all articles for your team
  • Access to all Reports for your team
  • Every Monday a Weekly Outlook with an update on key developments in Central Europe delivered by e-mail
  • Every Thursday a newsletter with the most important highlights and invitations
  • Personal invitations to Visegrad Insight Events
  • Foresight, policy, and risk analysis reports (on-demand)

Intelligence prepared by a group of Visegrad Insight Fellows from all across

Can I receive an invoice?

Yes. You will receive a receipt immediately after purchase and a VAT invoice upon request. The subscription amount includes tax. In case of a donation, there is no tax.

Are my credit card details safe?

Yes. The payment is processed by STRIPE www.stripe.com entrusted also by Amazon, Zoom, Booking.com and used by other global NGOs and businesses in the world. We do not store your credit card details.

How modify or cancel my subscription?

At any moment you can manage your subscription and account details. Sign in to modify or cancel.

Strategic Foresight by Visegrad Insight

In-house programme dedicated to analysing impactful trends, mapping out potential scenarios and generating weekly and monthly foresights.

Newsletter

Weekly updates with our latest articles and the editorial commentary.