Analysis
Democratic Security
Projects
Unlocked
What Will Happen to V4 After Hungary’s Vote of Destiny?
31 March 2026
Since 2015, the Polish governing party Law and Justice (PiS) has been trying to rewrite the rules to tilt the playing field to its advantage. This is accurately mirrored in the current presidential election, where the liberal mayor of Warsaw does not have anything approaching equal opportunities in the race with the incumbent president, supported by the regime.
It is way too close to call the second round of the Polish presidential election on Sunday because only a few hundred thousand votes could decide the outcome. Opinion polls have been measuring incumbent President Andrzej Duda and his challenger, Rafał Trzaskowski neck and neck for weeks.
While Duda has been slightly ahead before, Trzaskowski just took the lead according to a poll conducted by IBRIS: the candidate of the party Civic Platform (PO) is currently at 47 per cent while Duda is polling at 46 per cent.
Warsaw’s liberal mayor is facing a twofold challenge. He has to mobilise a diverse opposition camp that reflects a broad ideological spectrum beyond his own constituencies.
Subscribe
Democratic security comes at a price. What is yours? By subscribing or donating now gain access to analysis, forecasts and scenarios by leading analysts and reporters who monitor democratic risks and develop policy debate from Central Europe on Central Europe.
MonthlyVAT included
See all details
- Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
- Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
- Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
- Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline
AnnualVAT included
See all details
- Individual subscribers only. Check our CORPORATE OFFER below
- Almost 17% discount (12 EUR off monthly cost if paid annually)
- Full access to articles and all reports in PDF
- Weekly outlook on democratic security in CEE delivered by e-mail
- Weekly newsletter with essential highlights
- Invitations to all Visegrad Insight events online and offline
Institutional
See all details
- Access to all articles for your team
- Access to all Reports for your team
- Every Monday a Weekly Outlook with an update on key developments in Central Europe delivered by e-mail
- Every Thursday a newsletter with the most important highlights and invitations
- Personal invitations to Visegrad Insight Events
- Foresight, policy, and risk analysis reports (on-demand)
I am a representative of an institution/business. Is there a corporate offer?
The annual subscription for up to ten institutional users: EUR 999
GO TO CHECKOUT
For a tailor-made offer email us: contact@visegradinsight.eu
- Access to all articles for your team
- Access to all Reports for your team
- Every Monday a Weekly Outlook with an update on key developments in Central Europe delivered by e-mail
- Every Thursday a newsletter with the most important highlights and invitations
- Personal invitations to Visegrad Insight Events
- Foresight, policy, and risk analysis reports (on-demand)
Intelligence prepared by a group of Visegrad Insight Fellows from all across
Can I receive an invoice?
Yes. You will receive a receipt immediately after purchase and a VAT invoice upon request. The subscription amount includes tax. In case of a donation, there is no tax.
Are my credit card details safe?
Yes. The payment is processed by STRIPE www.stripe.com entrusted also by Amazon, Zoom, Booking.com and used by other global NGOs and businesses in the world. We do not store your credit card details.
How modify or cancel my subscription?
At any moment you can manage your subscription and account details. Sign in to modify or cancel.
