The Danger of a Budget Compromise

An Interpretative Declaration Suggests No Political Will to Resist Backsliders

10 December 2020

Edit Zgut-Przybylska

Visegrad Insight Fellow

This week’s suggested compromise on the long-term EU budget and rule of law conditionality indicates that the EU institutions are still not ready to defend their core principles and values.

Christmas came early this year not only for the European Union but for backsliding regimes as well. Once again, the EU has made concessions for autocratic minded leaders to overcome a deadlock, this time on the Multi-annual Financial Framework (MFF) after Poland and Hungary aggressively pushed a veto for the last couple of weeks. The EU cooked up an interpretative declaration, indicating a clarification about the rule of law mechanism’s implementation, to soothe the rebels.

The declaration claims that the mechanism only applies to the new long-term EU budget; it contains judicial recourse to the European Court of Justice and mentions an emergency brake for the entire process. It provides “assurances” about how the instrument will be implemented on “objective grounds”, respecting the “equality” of member states, and clarifying the right to appeal to the European Court of Justice if a country is found guilty by Brussels of trampling over EU principles.

It appears to be a good deal for everyone: the Member States from Southern Europe can receive the recovery funds after being hit by multiple crises and Viktor Orbán can most certainly bring it home as a huge victory.

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Edit Zgut-Przybylska

Visegrad Insight Fellow

Dr. Edit Zgut-Przybylska is an Assistant Professor at the Institute of Philosophy and Sociology (IFIS) in the Polish Academy of Sciences (PAN) and a visiting fellow at CEU Democracy Institute. Her research interest covers informality and populism in the context of democratic backsliding and the constraining role of the European Union. She is also a visiting lecturer at the Foreign Service Institute of the US State Department. Synthetic versions of her work are available on POLITICO EUROPE, Foreign Policy and Visegrad Insight. Edit held a re:constitution fellowship 2022/2023, a Rethink.CEE fellowship at the German Marshall Fund of the United States and a Visegrad Insight Fellowship. She previously worked at Political Capital Research Institute and prior to that, she was a journalist at various media outlets in Hungary.

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