Analysis
Democratic Security
Union Jack and the White Eagle. Significance of the Poland-UK Defence Treaty
28 May 2026
Over 40 per cent of Belarusian respondents consider Russia as the main threat to the country’s territorial integrity. However, the slow but still noticeable evolution in Belarusians’ attitude towards their eastern neighbour has not yet moved into the realm of geopolitical preferences.
Conducting independent sociological research is a complicated task under the Belarusian authoritarian system. When it comes to studying the political views of Belarusians, including the electoral preferences of Belarusian society, it is considered nearly impossible.
The Belarusian regime, relying on the old and tested Soviet experience, rightly believes that free sociology can really threaten the system since any relevant information about the current mood in society available to everyone can reduce the authorities’ already low authority, especially that of President Alyaksandr Lukashenka personally.
Therefore, for many years, Belarusian independent sociologists have not been able to afford the luxury of conducting a full-scale poll that would ask respondents to answer ‘uncomfortable’ questions from the authorities’ point of view.
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