All Quiet on The Bosnian Front

Despite simmering ethnic tensions and occasional political theatrics, Bosnia is not on the verge of collapse.

18 April 2023

Jan Farfał

Marcin Król Fellow

The Dayton agreements, which secured peace in Bosnia in 1995, may seem antiquated and failing the aspirations of the three ethnic communities in the country, but they are proving indispensable for maintaining stability 28 years on.

Over the past two decades, we have been flooded with warnings that the frozen conflict in Bosnia is about to erupt due to simmering ethnic tensions and the dysfunctionality of a complex governance system imposed on the country by the West at the end of the bloody Yugoslav wars in 1995.

Recently, this sentiment has been reinforced with alleged Russian hybrid operations to stoke animosities among the Serb, Bosniak and Croat communities adding to a continuous effort to prize away the Serb entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina by its leader Milorad Dodik. Weak, fragmented and consumed by corruption and historical resentments, Bosnia can hardly be seen as a well-functioning state.

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Jan Farfał

Marcin Król Fellow

Marcin Król Fellow 2022/2023 at Visegrad Insight and a Doctoral candidate in Area Studies (Russia and East Europe) at the Oxford School of Global and Area Studies. His project examines the ways in which émigré journals addressed their home societies behind the Iron Curtain. He is a Researcher in the project ‘Europe in a Changing World’, led by Professor Timothy Garton Ash and Professor Paul Betts, at the European Studies Center at the University of Oxford.

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