Analysis
EU Values Foresight
Security
Building Civic Resilience: Challenges and Solutions in Central Europe
12 December 2024
After securing 44% of the vote in Sunday’s elections in Lithuania, forecasted favourite President Gitanas Nausėda will now face Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė in an upcoming run-off. More telling, however, were the vote’s anti-establishment undercurrents, suggesting a change in public mood that could pave the way for fringe and Russia-friendly forces.
The presidential elections in Lithuania on Sunday delivered incumbent President Gitanas Nausėda a strong first showing, securing 44% of the total vote. He will now face off against current PM Ingrida Šimonytė in the second round, with little doubt about his eventual victory. Meanwhile, the referendum failed to gather enough votes to amend the constitution and open the doors for the dual citizenship law.
Voters heading to the polls on Sunday in Lithuania were presented with a diverse array of presidential candidates, ranging from staunchly pro-European figures to a medical doctor openly sympathetic to Russian interests. Despite the apparent certainty of Nausėda’s re-election, the first-round results underscored a growing trend of protest votes against established political figures.
In the lead-up to election day, security concerns loomed large amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Both candidates competing for the presidency in the second round expressed support for increasing defence spending to 3% of Lithuania’s GDP and maintaining the country’s pro-Western orientation.
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