Conservative Policies Failing Demographic Challenges

Cash incentives have done little to increase fertility rates in Poland and Hungary

22 December 2022

Paweł Marczewski

Marcin Król Fellow

There has been a steady demographic pattern in Poland and Hungary for the last several decades: their populations are shrinking. Both Fidesz and PiS believe promoting traditional values and restricting reproductive rights would lead to an increase in the birth rates, but time has shown this could not be further from the truth.

As countries in Central and Eastern Europe are entering a phase of the demographic cycle characterised by low fertility rates and longer life expectancy, their leaders are becoming increasingly preoccupied with families and the number of children they decide to have.

For the conservative leaders of Hungary and Poland – who like to present their countries as bastions of traditional values and European heritage while contrasting them against the decadent, multicultural Western Europe – the fact that their countries are following the same demographic pattern is particularly unsettling.

Demographic Woes

Therefore, it should come as no surprise that encouraging procreation is one of the Fidesz and Law and Justice governments’ shared goals, or to paraphrase Viktor Orbán’s expression, “helping Hungarians and Poles have as many children as they want.”. But the demographic approach by the ruling conservative parties in Poland and Hungary dictates that family policies are guided by particular visions of the nations rather than the actual needs of the populations.

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Paweł Marczewski

Marcin Król Fellow

Marcin Król Fellow. Paweł Marczewski is head of the research unit Citizens at the ideaForum, think tank of the Batory Foundation, a member of the Carnegie Civic Research Network, and an affiliated researcher at the SWPS Youth Study Center. He holds a PhD in sociology from the University of Warsaw. His main areas of interest are relations between demographic changes and democracy, social movements, civil society organizations, and social justice. He is a contributing writer at the weekly Tygodnik Powszechny and a member of the editorial board of Przegląd Polityczny quarterly, his comments and articles appeared also in the Nation, Public Seminar, Eurozine, as well as major Polish dailies Gazeta Wyborcza and Rzeczpospolita. In the years 2011-2017, he was an assistant professor at the Department of Sociology at the University of Warsaw, in 2015-2017 also head of publications at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna.

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