China — Russia’s Cautious Ally 

China has been cautiously stepping in to fill the market niche that emerges in Russia’s energy exports

22 April 2022

Marcin Zaborowski

Visegrad Insight Senior Fellow

There has been some expectation in Ukraine and in some quarters of the west that China may use its influence and pressure Russia to end its war in Ukraine.

As the war nears the end of its second month and the world has been horrified by the discovery of mass killings in Bucha, there is no evidence that China may want to step in and persuade Russia to cease its violence. 

China remains ostensibly neutral but, in reality, it promotes the Russian narrative, and it helps Russia in several ways: including economically and financially. 

Whilst China will be cautious, there is no credible reason to expect that it will assume the role of the peacemaker in Ukraine. At the same time, the existing interest and ideological proximity between China and Russia suggest that China will continue to side with Moscow in every way possible. 

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Marcin Zaborowski

Visegrad Insight Senior Fellow

is Policy Director at Future of Security Programme at GLOBSEC and an Associate Senior Fellow at Visegrad Insight. In the past Marcin served as Executive Director of the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) and Vice-President at the Centre for European Policy Analysis (CEPA). Prior to that Marcin worked as Senior Research Fellow at the European Union Institute for Security Studies in Paris. Marcin is a co-author of The New Atlanticist: Poland’s Foreign and Security Policy Priorities and the author of Germany, Poland, and Europe: Conflict, Cooperation and Europeanization.

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