Baltics Shut Down Lukashenka’s Fertiliser Cash Cow

How Lithuania's port reform sends Belarus's global potash transits down the spiral

26 March 2026

Russia and Belarus would reap a fertiliser windfall from the Iran war, but their seaports are under attack from Ukrainian drones and legal siege by the Baltic states.

Over the last couple of nights Ukrainians have relentlessly bombed Russian Baltic seaports that would help Vladimir Putin capitalise on the oil and fertiliser exports. At the same time, governments of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania take bold steps to curb Lukashenka’s war profiteering.

The amendments to the Lithuanian Klaipėda State Seaport Law were passed with almost no debate and almost no press coverage earlier this month. Yet the final tally – 84 votes in favour, none against, seven abstentions – may turn out to be the most consequential moment in Vilnius-Minsk relations for years to come.

The first reading of the Klaipėda State Seaport Law amendments took place in the Seimas on 10 March 2026 following the proposal by Lithuania’s Ministry of Transport (with its Minister Juras Taminskas pictured in the illustration). The Seimas Ateities (Future) Committee held a sitting on the matter yesterday, with the potential of sending the legislation to the plenary for final approval.

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Vitali Matyshau

Vitali Matyshau is a 2026 Junior Fellow at Visegrad Insight. He is a Belarusian civic activist and researcher. Vitali was a recipient of the StAR Scholarship in Norway, where he obtained a Master’s degree in International Relations from NMBU. His research focuses on economic security and civil society in Belarus and Central and Eastern Europe.

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