All Quiet on The Bosnian Front

Despite simmering ethnic tensions and occasional political theatrics, Bosnia is not on the verge of collapse.

18 April 2023

Jan Farfał

Europe Enlargement Fellow

The Dayton agreements, which secured peace in Bosnia in 1995, may seem antiquated and failing the aspirations of the three ethnic communities in the country, but they are proving indispensable for maintaining stability 28 years on.

Over the past two decades, we have been flooded with warnings that the frozen conflict in Bosnia is about to erupt due to simmering ethnic tensions and the dysfunctionality of a complex governance system imposed on the country by the West at the end of the bloody Yugoslav wars in 1995.

Recently, this sentiment has been reinforced with alleged Russian hybrid operations to stoke animosities among the Serb, Bosniak and Croat communities adding to a continuous effort to prize away the Serb entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina by its leader Milorad Dodik. Weak, fragmented and consumed by corruption and historical resentments, Bosnia can hardly be seen as a well-functioning state.

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Jan Farfał

Europe Enlargement Fellow

Deputy Editor in Chief at Res Publica Nowa. Doctoral Candidate at the University of Oxford and Research Assistant to Timothy Garton Ash, co-founder of the Club Alpbach Poland, Committee Representative for the Security Track at the European Forum Alpbach, and visiting fellow at IWM - Institute of Human Sciences in Vienna. Researcher in the project ‘Europe in a Changing World', at the European Studies Center at the University of Oxford.

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