What to Expect From Putin’s Rogue Friends

A breakdown of Moscow’s allies and why they support Russia’s invasion

20 January 2023

Christine Karelska

Future of Ukraine Fellow

Despite sanctions and a united front from democratic nations, Russia is continuing to push ahead with its attack against Ukraine. But which regimes are supporting Putin and his imperialistic pursuits, and what capabilities do they have in arming Moscow in their war against Kyiv?

Being a pariah state in the international arena is not a bright prospect. However, against the backdrop of humiliating military setbacks in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin manages to rely on his old friends by pure coercion or a cold “business-as-usual” logic to help him get the upper hand in Ukraine and launch a possible new offensive in 2023. He is ready to close his eyes as potentially millions of deaths from newly mobilised, inexperienced Russians and throw more troops into the “meat grinder” in the Donbas region.

Looking forward, several questions arise: who are Putin’s allies in his illegal invasion, and why shouldn’t they be underestimated by the West? Perhaps most importantly, who will survive the 2023 winter of attrition: the Ukrainians or the Russians?

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Christine Karelska

Future of Ukraine Fellow

Christine Karelska is a Visegrad Insight Fellow as of 2022. She is also an alumna of the College of Europe in Natolin and the Democracy Study Centre in Kyiv. Her main specialization is the European Neighborhood Policy. Christine was an intern-analyst of the Public Association “Community Associations” in Odesa. Her main academic spheres of interest are security studies, international relations, gender equality and local governance. Currently, she is working as an Advisor on International Relations of the Vice Mayor of Odesa and as an Assistant to the Deputy of the Odesa City Council. Previously, she worked as a Project Manager of the Ze!Women movement aimed at gender equality and promotion of the First Lady of Ukraine Olena Zelenska’s projects in the Odesa region.

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