Commentary
Economy & Tech
Security
Trump and Putin Call the Shots. Will Europe Wag Its Tail? – OPINION
24 October 2025
Ukraine’s challenge to Russia’s control of the Black Sea, the resilience of alternative routes on the Danube and pressure from the Global South may persuade Russia to rejoin the grain deal as harvests start in earnest.
Following Russia’s withdrawal from the Black Sea grain deal, Ukrainian exports have shifted to alternative routes through the Danube ports, roads and railways, showing limits of Moscow’s ability to replace Ukraine in the global market.
With the new harvest filling in grain storage, Russia has accelerated attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure in Odesa and other Ukrainian Black Sea and Danube facilities that could be used to transport grain out of the country. And yet, some of the new routes, particularly on the Danube, are proving resilient and harder to attack.
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