The lack of a grand coalition leaves political factions more divided. Anti-EU and exit-parties score higher than ever before. As a result, the EU is paralysed and Europe has to be managed through unstable coalitions of national governments prone to external powers’ influence.
- A new pro-European temporary majority will be less internally coherent and its centre of gravity is likely to move rightwards.
- The central European intake into the ruling group will be prone to strengthening internal co-operation.
- Polish PiS emerges as a major element on the eurosceptic scene in the EP and seeks cooperation with the EPP, though the Polish domestic context prevents this from becoming a reality.
- Fidesz makes an even more radical turn in search of a new alliance but is unsuccessful and becomes sidelined.
- These situations lead to a fragmentation of the EU exposing it to influence from foreign powers.
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Visegrad Insight 2 (14) 2019
European Parliamentary #Futures
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Published by Res Publica Foundation
Partner: Konrad Adenauer Foundation
Supported by: ABTSHIELD
Wojciech Przybylski, Editor-in-Chief
Marcin Zaborowski, Senior Associate
Magda Jakubowska, Director of Operations
Galan Dall, Managing Editor
Anhelina Pryimak, Editorial Assistant
Anna Kulikowska-Kasper, Contributor
Paweł Kuczyński, Illustrations
Rzeczyobrazkowe, Graphic Design