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Christmas Came Early For Orbán. Will His Influence Last Longer Than Snow?
16 December 2024
In 2020, Central Europe will observe plenty of electoral races and will be exposed to a few important economic and security impulses. By the end of the year, the most likely result is to be further fragmentation – especially on the European scene – which will prevent new and big Visegrad narratives. Much of the region’s development agenda will be carried out thanks to the EU or global drivers.
In February parliamentary elections will be held in Slovakia which will result in fragmentation and instability. The ruling socialist SMER-SD party and its current coalition partners will not be able to form a governing coalition again. Polls suggest a 10 per cent drop for the party of Robert Fico who plans to remain party leader at least until the elections while Peter Pellegrini acts as the prime minister.
An expected 20 per cent of the votes will make SMER-SD the winner with about 30 seats in a 150 seat parliament but new coalition partners will be necessary.