What futures for the Western Balkans in 2030? Explore the full potential of a strategic foresight brought together by Visegrad Insight and top regional partners in Central Europe and Western Balkans. Watch, explore, read, listen and engage in building up a better European future.
Watch: What’s Up in Western Balkans? Ask an Expert.
Series of videos and texts by the experts from V4 and Western Balkans speaking on:
Explore Western Balkans Futures 2030. Scenario-based report:
Why Western Balkans Futures? Rationale
The countries of Western Balkans face multiple geopolitical, economic, humanitarian and social challenges. Although a slow but steady process of NATO enlargement is present, none of the WB countries is yet close tothe EU membership. Global actors use that as an opportunity to increase their influenceon Europe.
Basic security concerns, handicapped political process, informal dependencies, unclear perspectives and global developments bouse the region in different directions. COVID-19 pandemic only aggravated the level of uncertainty, with vaccination becoming another hot political issue.
The EU’s tactics towards the region assume increased leverage, political accountability, and credibility. It will not remain unnoticed by global and regional contestants such as Russia, China, Turkey, or Saudi Arabia.
EU’s values-centred conditionality does not necessarily correspond to local elites’ political and economic interests. Hence, there is a need to explore the possible trajectories for the Western Balkans, considering the EU’s priorities, other players’ power projection and pandemic-related developments.
The mapping of potential trends and potential outcomes for the Western Balkans, as well as including the V4 perspective in the debate, will uplift the discussion on the importance of the region for the West, in particular, the EU and NATO. By means of Central European cooperation, we hope to ensure that the best recommendations are developed and heard in the EU and the U.S.
Read Western Balkans Futures – articles
We are also following the developments in the Western Balkans and invite international experts to provide commentaries.
What Future Holds for Western Balkans, with Péter Balázs, former Foreign Minister of Hungary, Thomas Hagleitner, DG NEAR, European Commission, and Marianna Neupauerová, Deputy Executive Director, International Visegrad Fund – 7 March 2022.
Impacts of the War in Ukraine on the Western Balkans, with Adnan Ćerimagić, Senior Analyst, European Stability Initiative, Luka Šterić, Researcher, Belgrade Centre for Security Policy, and Bogdan Zawadewicz, Reserach Fellow, Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW) – 11 March 2022.
European Perspectives of the Western Balkans in Time of Crisis, with Pavol Demeš, Senior Fellow, GMF US, Jelica Minić, President, European Movement in Serbia, Shpetim Gashi, Vice-President, Council of Inclusive Governance, Tetiana Poliak-Grujić, EU Neighbourhood Programme Manager, Visegrad Visegrad Insight, Res Publica Foundation – 16 March 2022.
The Future Of the Western Balkans: Five Scenarios for 2030, with Alba Cela, Executive Director, Albanian Institute for International Studies, Ledion Krisafi, Senior Researcher, Albanian Institute for International Studies, Ferenc Nemeth, Research Fellow, Institute for Foreign Affairs and Trade, and Tetiana Poliak-Grujić, EU Neighbourhood Programme Manager, Visegrad Visegrad Insight, Res Publica Foundation – 18 March 2022.
Video summary of all discussions is available here.
More about the programme
The “Western Balkans – Exploring Trajectories for the Region” project is supported by the International Visegrad Fund and is part of a broader effort called “Western Balkans Futures” aimed at elevating and extending the debate around the future of Western Balkans.
Previously, with the support of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland, we produced a thematic report outlining major trends and triggers in the region: Western Balkans Trends Report.
The project entails the publication of the “Western Balkans Futures: Five Scenarios for 2030″ report based on the scenario-building workshop with experts from Western Balkans and Visegrad countries that took place on 9-10 September 2021. We are also following the developments in the Western Balkans and invite international experts to provide commentaries.
The project is co-financed by the Governments of Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia through Visegrad Grants from International Visegrad Fund. The mission of the fund is to advance ideas for sustainable regional cooperation in Central Europe.
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