Who Will Win the Czech Presidential Elections?

Three candidates compete to become the second popularly-elected president in Czech history

10 January 2023

Martin Ehl

Senior Fellow

While a recent – and unexpected – “not guilty” verdict in a fraud case regarding EU funds will be a welcome surprise to the Andrej Babiš campaign, the former prime minister has an uphill battle against his more moderate rivals, General Petr Pavel and economist Danuše Nerudová, in the upcoming Czech elections.

The presidential elections in the Czech Republic – the first round of which will take place on 13 and 14 January – will kick off a rather interesting election year in Central Europe. Under certain circumstances, it could result in the suppression of forces associated with populism that have so far gained rather than lost political power.

In addition to the election of a head of state in the Czech Republic, Central Europe is most likely to see early parliamentary elections in Slovakia, probably in June but possibly as late as September, and parliamentary elections in Poland sometime in October or November.

Vying For Prague Castle

Three candidates have a realistic chance of being elected president in the Czech Republic: former Prime Minister Andrej Babiš, former rector of Mendel University, economist Danuše Nerudová, and former Chief of the General Staff of the Czech Army and Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, General Petr Pavel. According to the polls, their chances for the first round are even at around 27 per cent, although Nerudová is losing a bit in the latest polls. The other six candidates have support that does not exceed five per cent in each case (and one of them, the head of trade unions, Josef Středula, just withdraw from the race during a big TV debate on Sunday).

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Martin Ehl

Senior Fellow

Visegrad Insight Senior Fellow. Martin Ehl is the Chief Analyst at Hospodářské noviny (Economic daily)

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