International Relations
Interview
China’s EVs and European Disunity: A Geoeconomic Playbook
7 October 2024
3 November 2020
From the regional perspective, Donald Trump has not been bad news but a Joe Biden administration can deliver more. By reviving multilateralism and putting trust in international institutions, Washington could rebuild the key pillars of Central Europe’s security set-up. It could also drive a wedge between Poland and Hungary on the rule of law.
For Central Europe, two things will not change after 3 November – a favourable image of the United States and support for its president. However, the outcome might as well precipitate political trouble for at least two populist governments in the region.
If it were just up to Poles to decide, Donald Trump could have a chance to be re-elected this year. For the rest of Europeans, Joe Biden seems to be the only acceptable choice.
Obviously, these preferences have no impact but they might give a sense of how many in the EU hope for a change in the White House. Also, these preferences tend to change in a predictable way.