Belarus Will Not Be Broken

Analysis

Ordinary Citizens Show No Sign of Giving Up Despite Russia's Support of Lukashenka

12 October 2020

The European Union and Russia have taken different approaches in response to the events in Belarus. While the EU supports the protests and is implementing sanctions against the regime, Russia is set on helping Lukashenka to cling on to power.

In the current Belarusian revolution of freedom, the context of external relations and interactions is important – which many analysts and publicists call the “geopolitical” factor.

This, without any doubt, has been present in the events in Belarus from the very beginning, creating a background that cannot be ignored.

On the whole, the fate of the Belarusian revolution may depend how this geopolitical factor manifests itself in various scenarios of further development.

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Grigorij Mesežnikov

Grigorij Mesežnikov is a political scientist and the President of the Institute for Public Affairs (IVO) in Slovakia. He has published expert studies on party systems’ development and political aspects of transformation in post-communist societies, illiberal and authoritarian tendencies, populism, nationalism and hybrid threats in various monographs, collections and scholarly journals in Slovakia and other countries.