What’s in Store for Belarus?

Four Plausible Scenarios for the Eastern Partnership

21 May 2020

Developments in the Eastern neighbourhood are not only driven by regional actors but outcomes can also be shaped by countries such as Belarus. Certainly, much remains at play for the next decade.

The Eastern European Futures report describes potential future scenarios for the Eastern Partnership region. Within these, there are developments of particular importance to Belarus.

To recall, the European Union and six of its Eastern neighbours launched the Eastern Partnership (EaP) framework in 2009 with the intention of building a common area of shared democracy, prosperity, stability and increased cooperation.

A decade on, however, politicians and experts are debating the merits and weaknesses of the framework. There have been positive developments. three of the EU’s Eastern neighbours – Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine – have embarked on challenging democratic and economic transformations and have built, through far-reaching association, free trade and visa agreements, ever-closer ties with the EU. Another neighbour, Armenia, has recently set itself on a similarly positive path.

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Aliaksandr Atroshchankau

A journalist and pro-democratic, Belarusian activist.

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