Analysis
Foresight
Ukraine Fights While EU Debates its Future
20 June 2022
It is impossible to predict today if Kaczyński will get his way and some sort of election will take place in the coming weeks, which would undoubtedly re-install Duda as a party-compliant president for another five years.
The Polish government wants to hold a presidential election on 10 May 2020 whilst the nation is in lockdown. Alternatively, the government of Poland wants to delay the election by two years expending the current president’s term to seven years.
Both proposals require a thorough change of the electoral law without the consent of the opposition and in blatant violation of Poland’s constitution and international standards as determined by the OSCE and the EU.
There is no doubt that if any of the two proposals are implemented, Poland’s already weak position in the EU will dramatically deteriorate. Nonetheless, the government appears determined to solidify its grip on power before the public mood sours following the incoming economic slowdown and recession.
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